Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer

Epidemiology of Prostate Cancer

US Oncology Review 2005
Published: October 2008
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Impact of Screeningon Diagnosis
The American Cancer Society recommends that all men aged 50 years and above should undergo annual digital rectal examinations (DREs) and PSA testing.53 In cases where there is a high risk of prostate cancer, such as with African-Americans or those with a family history of prostate cancer, men should be screened from age 45, and if there are multiple relatives involved, they should be screened from age 40.Those who have abnormal findings should undergo transrectal ultrasound and biopsy for definitive diagnosis. Studies of DRE and PSA have shown that in men aged over 50, DRE or PSA was found to be abnormal in 36% and prostate cancer was diagnosed by biopsy in 6.4%. Abnormal findings were higher in African-Americans and those with positive family history, occuring in 34% and 42% respectively with positive biopsies being 10.3% and 10.5%, respectively.54 Screening had different positive predictive values in different groups, the highest being in African-Americans (48%), followed by those with positive family history (38%), and the lowest in those without any risk factors (30%).55 PSA density, PSA velocity, ratio of free and total PSA and age-specific PSA are some of the determinants used to increase specificity of PSA screening and decrease negative biopsies.55

Screening and Impact on Incidence of Prostate Cancer
PSA screening in different countries has altered the pattern of incidence. Data from the SEER program show that the incidence of prostate cancer in the US increased steadily during the 1980s, with an increase of 85% between 1987 and 1992, and reached an ageadjusted value of 190.1 per 100,000 men.56 The incidence subsequently decreased by 29% between 1992 and 1996 and increased again to levels seen before PSA screening.

Screening and Mortality of Prostate Cancer
Mortality data from the SEER program show that rates increased gradually from 1976 when it was 22.1 per 100,000 to 1992 (26.7 per 100,000), but decreased again through to 1997 (15.9 per 100,000).The decrease observed in mortality during the decade of 1990s was mainly due to a reduction of death from distant disease, while that due to loco-regional disease actually increased during the 1990s until 1997 when it decreased slightly in Whites but not in African- Americans.56–58 It is also important to recognize that 50% of mortality is cancer-specific while the rest is due to co-morbid conditions like cardiovascular disease.59

Screening and Stage and Grade of Prostate Cancer
DRE is less sensitive than PSA in detecting tumors at an earlier stage. Of all tumors detected, 75% are now due to PSA screening.60 The number of patients with regional or distant disease has reduced considerably.The proportion of patients presenting with metastatic disease decreased from 17% in the late 1980s to 4% during late 1990s.61 The proportion of patients presenting with extracapsular spread decreased from 15% to 6% over this period.Those presenting with T1 tumors increased from 14% to 51%, and this stage migration has been seen across all ethnicities in the US.

Screening did not cause a change in the grade of prostate cancer in patients to a lower grade. Most of the tumors are moderately differentiated accounting for 60%, with about 20% poorly differentiated and about 20% being of low or unknown grade. Histologic grade is an important prognostic factor for survival. With conservative management, 15-year mortality rate increases from 4% to 7% for men with well differentiated tumors to 60% to 87% for those with poorly differentiated tumors.62

Chemoprevention
A total of over 11 randomized studies are accruing patients for prostate cancer prevention. Several studies are contributing to data that show a considerable number of cancer deaths can be prevented by changes in diet and life-style or by using medications. Some of the chemoprevention studies include the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, the Lycopene Trial, the Dutasteride Trial, the Rofecoxib Study, the Physicians Health Study, and the Isoflavones Study.63 The results of the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, where 5mg of Finasteride was administered to 18,881 men, showed a decrease in prostate cancer prevalence of 24.8%.64

Conclusion
Various epidemiological studies would help in devising strategies to reduce the incidence of prostate cancer. Prostate cancer screening has changed the pattern of disease to earlier-stage but has not caused a shift in histology to a lower grade.

References:
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